BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 8 Class Rank: 31 Conference: 8-5 Record: (23-7-0) Overall: (58-41-0) Overall Strength =   38.76

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    84.63  41   0    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           45.71     -4.71                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    48.81  30  29   1A  43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         9.90     -8.90                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    L    43.64  26  40    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO            4.73    -18.73                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    32.60  14  13    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        -6.31      7.31                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L    17.41   6  42    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -21.51    -14.49                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    55.41  43   8    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      16.50     18.50                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    W *  26.32  28  20    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony    -12.59     20.59                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    36.10  19  13   1A  59 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -2.82      8.82                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    75.26  38  18    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          36.35    -16.35                      
 10 09/06/2002 Home    W    72.57  46  14    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           33.66     -1.66                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    W    61.42  51   0   ZZ  89 (  4- 10-  0) Moravia-Moulton-Udel   22.51     28.49                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    W    61.47  50  12    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      22.56     15.44                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    L    38.41   0  15    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             -0.51    -14.49                      
 14 10/04/2002 Home    W    46.07  40  22    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG              7.16     10.84                      
 15 10/11/2002 Away    L    25.60  16  22    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -13.31      7.31                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L    52.32   7  13 1  A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          13.41    -19.41                      
 17 10/25/2002 Home    W    77.52  54   0    A  49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully        38.61     15.39                      
 18 11/01/2002 Away    L     3.14   7  53    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -35.77    -10.23                      
 19 08/29/2003 Home    L   -21.74   0  35   1A  64 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne         -60.66     25.66                      
 20 09/05/2003 Away    L     8.63   6  41    A  38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -30.29     -4.71                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    W    22.41  15  13    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -16.50     18.50                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    L    12.46   0  44    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -26.45    -17.55                      
 23 10/03/2003 Away    L     4.13  14  41    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -34.78      7.78                      
 24 10/10/2003 Home    L     7.55  14  35    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -31.37     10.37                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    L    15.26  14  54    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -23.65    -16.35                      
 26 10/24/2003 Away    L    -3.42   6  36    A  49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully       -42.33     12.33                      
 27 10/31/2003 Home    L    32.09   6  20    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    -6.83     -7.17                      
 28 09/03/2004 Away    L    18.32   0  40    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -20.59    -19.41                      
 29 09/10/2004 Home    L    19.89   0  43    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama      -19.02    -23.98                      
 30 09/17/2004 Away    L    27.46   7  36    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -11.45    -17.55                      
 31 09/24/2004 Home    L    16.64   0  41    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO          -22.27    -18.73                      
 32 10/01/2004 Away    W    51.47  35   7    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      12.56     15.44                      
 33 10/08/2004 Home    W    64.09  18   0    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    25.17     -7.17                      
 34 10/15/2004 Away    L    18.14   0  37   1A  38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -20.77    -16.23                      
 35 10/22/2004 Away    L     1.60  14  44    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -37.31      7.31                      
 36 11/01/2004 Home    L    -4.93   0  33    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -43.84     10.84                      
 37 09/02/2005 Home    L    11.26   7  51    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -27.65    -16.35                      
 38 09/09/2005 Away    L    45.94  13  33    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama        7.03    -27.03                      
 39 09/16/2005 Home    L    17.41   0  36    A  21 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -21.51    -14.49                      
 40 09/23/2005 Away    L    33.70   6  33    A  15 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -5.21    -21.79                      
 41 09/30/2005 Home    W    27.41  13   6    A  50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -11.50     18.50                      
 42 10/07/2005 Away    W    81.14  32   0    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    42.23    -10.23                      
 43 10/14/2005 Home    L    11.08   0  41   1A  38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -27.83    -13.17                      
 44 10/21/2005 Home    W    44.55  16   0    A  44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys         5.63     10.37                      
 45 10/28/2005 Away    L     2.13   6  35    A  45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -36.78      7.78                      
 46 09/01/2006 Away    W    64.99  37  12    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   26.08     -1.08                      
 47 09/08/2006 Home    W    47.61  61  22    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail            8.69     30.31                      
 48 09/15/2006 Away    W *  74.78  51  14    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         35.87      1.13                      
 49 09/22/2006 Home    W *  53.27  60  22    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     14.35     23.65                      
 50 09/29/2006 Away    W *  69.18  71  12    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                30.27     28.73                      
 51 10/06/2006 Home    W    50.72  69   6   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                11.81     51.19                      
 52 10/13/2006 Away    W *  75.78  76  14    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                36.87     25.13                      
 53 10/20/2006 Home    W *  73.55  43   0    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     34.64      8.36                      
 54 10/27/2006 Home    W *  65.93  52  14    8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park      27.02     10.98                      
 55 11/01/2006 Home    W    87.94  65  14    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   49.02      1.98                      
 56 11/06/2006 Neutral W    61.01  20  18    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  22.10    -20.10                      
 57 11/10/2006 Neutral L    -8.97   0  42    8  39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -47.88      5.88                      
 58 08/31/2007 Home    W    72.94  48  12    A  42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   34.02      1.98                      
 59 09/07/2007 Away    W    46.66  42   7    8  60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail            7.75     27.25                      
 60 09/14/2007 Home    W *  76.72  48   6    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         37.81      4.19                      
 61 09/21/2007 Away    W *  57.32  59  20    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     18.41     20.59                      
 62 09/28/2007 Home    W *  56.12  55   6    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                17.21     31.79                      
 63 10/05/2007 Away    W    19.77  53  24   ZZ  90 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -19.14     48.14                      
 64 10/12/2007 Home    W *  31.72  49  28    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                -7.19     28.19                      
 65 10/19/2007 Away    W *  68.61  55  20    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     29.69      5.31                      
 66 10/26/2007 Away    W *  38.99  33  25 1  8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park       0.08      7.92  non-district        
 67 10/30/2007 Neutral L    45.01  12  26    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                   6.10    -20.10                      
 68 08/29/2008 Away    W    23.46  42  32    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville           -15.45     25.45  non-district        
 69 09/05/2008 Home    W    55.24  48   7    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     16.33     24.67  non-district        
 70 09/12/2008 Home    W    41.01  20  12    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                  2.10      5.90  non-district        
 71 09/19/2008 Home    W *  50.72  46   6    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                11.81     28.19                      
 72 09/26/2008 Away    W *  74.78  49  12    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         35.87      1.13                      
 73 10/03/2008 Home    L    14.80   6  18    8  45 ( 30- 63-  0) Ventura               -24.12     12.12  non-district        
 74 10/10/2008 Away    W *  74.61  53  12    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     35.69      5.31                      
 75 10/17/2008 Home    W *  65.27  62  12    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     26.35     23.65                      
 76 10/24/2008 Home    W *  64.12  65   8    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                25.21     31.79                      
 77 10/29/2008 Home    W    86.33  53   7    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       47.41     -1.41                      
 78 11/03/2008 Home    L    21.48   8  44    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -17.43    -18.57                      
 79 08/28/2009 Home    W    40.41  32   2    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville             1.49     28.51  nd                  
 80 09/04/2009 Away    W    81.29  70   6    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     42.38     21.62  nd                  
 81 09/11/2009 Away    W    63.07  49  22    8  37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 24.16      2.84  nd                  
 82 09/18/2009 Away    W *  68.78  71  16    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                29.87     25.13                      
 83 09/25/2009 Home    W *  78.72  88  44    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         39.81      4.19                      
 84 10/02/2009 Away    W    63.85  42   8    8  45 ( 30- 63-  0) Ventura                24.94      9.06  nd                  
 85 10/09/2009 Home    W * 100.55  70   0    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     61.64      8.36                      
 86 10/16/2009 Away    W *  42.32  52  28    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony      3.41     20.59                      
 87 10/23/2009 Away    W *  49.18  45   6    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                10.27     28.73                      
 88 10/28/2009 Home    W    46.14  21  10    8  34 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union        7.23      3.77                      
 89 11/02/2009 Home    W    61.33  64  43    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       22.41     -1.41                      
 90 11/06/2009 Away    L    37.54  20  43    8  10 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  -1.38    -21.62                      
 91 08/27/2010 Home    L   -13.03  12  62    8  33 ( 39- 40-  0) Janesville            -51.95      1.95  ND                  
 92 09/03/2010 Away    L   -13.62  12  69    8  25 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian      -52.53     -4.47  ND                  
 93 09/10/2010 Home    L *  -7.45   0  38    8  40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -46.36      8.36                      
 94 09/17/2010 Away    L * -15.22  18  47    8  58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -54.13     25.13                      
 95 09/24/2010 Home    L *  14.72  18  38    8  35 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -24.19      4.19                      
 96 10/01/2010 Home    L * -14.66  56  76    8  64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki         -53.57     33.57                      
 97 10/08/2010 Away    L * -31.68   0  50    8  55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony    -70.59     20.59                      
 98 10/15/2010 Away    L * -18.01  12  61    8  43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park     -56.92      7.92                      
 99 10/22/2010 Home    L * -21.88  34  63    8  61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia               -60.79     31.79                      
      Averages              38.76  30.9 24.6

Best game:  100.55 = 70 point win over Bussey Twin Cedars
Worst game: -31.68 = 50 point loss to Farmington Harmony
Team stdev:  30.51