BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 8 Class Rank: 30 Conference: SICL Record: (8-16-0) Overall: (58-41-0) Overall Strength =   38.76

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    W *    84.63  41   0    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           45.71     -4.71                      
 2 09/07/2001 Home    W      48.81  30  29   1A 43 ( 47- 47-  0) Panora Panorama         9.90     -8.90                      
 3 09/14/2001 Home    L      43.64  26  40    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO            4.73    -18.73                      
 4 09/21/2001 Away    W *    32.60  14  13    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys        -6.31      7.31                      
 5 09/28/2001 Home    L *    17.41   6  42    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -21.51    -14.49                      
 6 10/05/2001 Home    W      55.41  43   8    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      16.50     18.50                      
 7 10/12/2001 Away    W   *  26.32  28  20    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony    -12.59     20.59                      
 8 10/19/2001 Away    W      36.10  19  13   ZZ 72 ( 13- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -2.82      8.82                      
 9 10/26/2001 Home    W *    75.26  38  18    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          36.35    -16.35                      
10 09/06/2002 Home    W *    72.57  46  14    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM           33.66     -1.66                      
11 09/13/2002 Away    W      61.42  51   0   ZZ 82 (  4- 10-  0) Moravia-Moulton-Udel   22.51     28.49                      
12 09/20/2002 Away    W      61.47  50  12    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      22.56     15.44                      
13 09/27/2002 Home    L *    38.41   0  15    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV             -0.51    -14.49                      
14 10/04/2002 Home    W      46.07  40  22    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG              7.16     10.84                      
15 10/11/2002 Away    L *    25.60  16  22    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -13.31      7.31                      
16 10/18/2002 Away    L *    52.32   7  13 1  A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          13.41    -19.41                      
17 10/25/2002 Home    W *    77.52  54   0    A 49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully        38.61     15.39                      
18 11/01/2002 Away    L *     3.14   7  53    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -35.77    -10.23                      
19 08/29/2003 Home    L     -21.74   0  35   1A 63 ( 12- 78-  0) Corydon Wayne         -60.66     25.66                      
20 09/05/2003 Away    L *     8.63   6  41    A 38 ( 35- 52-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -30.29     -4.71                      
21 09/19/2003 Home    W      22.41  15  13    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -16.50     18.50                      
22 09/26/2003 Away    L *    12.46   0  44    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -26.45    -17.55                      
23 10/03/2003 Away    L       4.13  14  41    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -34.78      7.78                      
24 10/10/2003 Home    L *     7.55  14  35    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -31.37     10.37                      
25 10/17/2003 Home    L *    15.26  14  54    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -23.65    -16.35                      
26 10/24/2003 Away    L *    -3.42   6  36    A 49 ( 23- 69-  1) Lynnville-Sully       -42.33     12.33                      
27 10/31/2003 Home    L *    32.09   6  20    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    -6.83     -7.17                      
28 09/03/2004 Away    L *    18.32   0  40    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -20.59    -19.41                      
29 09/10/2004 Home    L      19.89   0  43    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama      -19.02    -23.98                      
30 09/17/2004 Away    L *    27.46   7  36    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -11.45    -17.55                      
31 09/24/2004 Home    L      16.64   0  41    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO          -22.27    -18.73                      
32 10/01/2004 Away    W      51.47  35   7    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      12.56     15.44                      
33 10/08/2004 Home    W *    64.09  18   0    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    25.17     -7.17                      
34 10/15/2004 Away    L      18.14   0  37   1A 38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -20.77    -16.23                      
35 10/22/2004 Away    L *     1.60  14  44    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys       -37.31      7.31                      
36 11/01/2004 Home    L      -4.93   0  33    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -43.84     10.84                      
37 09/02/2005 Home    L *    11.26   7  51    A 17 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska         -27.65    -16.35                      
38 09/09/2005 Away    L      45.94  13  33    A 10 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama        7.03    -27.03                      
39 09/16/2005 Home    L *    17.41   0  36    A 20 ( 69- 34-  0) Victor HLV            -21.51    -14.49                      
40 09/23/2005 Away    L      33.70   6  33    A 14 ( 82- 25-  0) Wayland WACO           -5.21    -21.79                      
41 09/30/2005 Home    W      27.41  13   6    A 50 ( 17- 73-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -11.50     18.50                      
42 10/07/2005 Away    W *    81.14  32   0    A 31 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    42.23    -10.23                      
43 10/14/2005 Home    L      11.08   0  41   1A 38 ( 42- 51-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -27.83    -13.17                      
44 10/21/2005 Home    W *    44.55  16   0    A 44 ( 32- 61-  0) English Valleys         5.63     10.37                      
45 10/28/2005 Away    L       2.13   6  35    A 45 ( 26- 67-  0) Garwin GMG            -36.78      7.78                      
46 09/01/2006 Away    W      64.99  37  12    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   26.08     -1.08                      
47 09/08/2006 Home    W      47.61  61  22    8 60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail            8.69     30.31                      
48 09/15/2006 Away    W   *  74.78  51  14    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         35.87      1.13                      
49 09/22/2006 Home    W   *  53.27  60  22    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     14.35     23.65                      
50 09/29/2006 Away    W   *  69.18  71  12    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                30.27     28.73                      
51 10/06/2006 Home    W      50.72  69   6   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell                11.81     51.19                      
52 10/13/2006 Away    W   *  75.78  76  14    8 58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                36.87     25.13                      
53 10/20/2006 Home    W   *  73.55  43   0    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     34.64      8.36                      
54 10/27/2006 Home    W   *  65.93  52  14    8 43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park      27.02     10.98                      
55 11/01/2006 Home    W      87.94  65  14    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   49.02      1.98                      
56 11/06/2006 Neutral W      61.01  20  18    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  22.10    -20.10                      
57 11/10/2006 Neutral L      -8.97   0  42    8 39 ( 50- 45-  0) Essex                 -47.88      5.88                      
58 08/31/2007 Home    W      72.94  48  12    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys   34.02      1.98                      
59 09/07/2007 Away    W      46.66  42   7    8 60 ( 23- 67-  0) Mormon Trail            7.75     27.25                      
60 09/14/2007 Home    W   *  76.72  48   6    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         37.81      4.19                      
61 09/21/2007 Away    W   *  57.32  59  20    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     18.41     20.59                      
62 09/28/2007 Home    W   *  56.12  55   6    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                17.21     31.79                      
63 10/05/2007 Away    W      19.77  53  24   ZZ 84 (  6- 54-  0) Russell               -19.14     48.14                      
64 10/12/2007 Home    W   *  31.72  49  28    8 58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                -7.19     28.19                      
65 10/19/2007 Away    W   *  68.61  55  20    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     29.69      5.31                      
66 10/26/2007 Away    W   *  38.99  33  25 1  8 43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park       0.08      7.92  non-district        
67 10/30/2007 Neutral L      45.01  12  26    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                   6.10    -20.10                      
68 08/29/2008 Away    W      23.46  42  32    8 59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville           -15.45     25.45  non-district        
69 09/05/2008 Home    W      55.24  48   7    8 56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     16.33     24.67  non-district        
70 09/12/2008 Home    W      41.01  20  12    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                  2.10      5.90  non-district        
71 09/19/2008 Home    W   *  50.72  46   6    8 58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                11.81     28.19                      
72 09/26/2008 Away    W   *  74.78  49  12    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         35.87      1.13                      
73 10/03/2008 Home    L      14.80   6  18    8 45 ( 30- 63-  0) Ventura               -24.12     12.12  non-district        
74 10/10/2008 Away    W   *  74.61  53  12    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     35.69      5.31                      
75 10/17/2008 Home    W   *  65.27  62  12    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony     26.35     23.65                      
76 10/24/2008 Home    W   *  64.12  65   8    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                25.21     31.79                      
77 10/29/2008 Home    W      86.33  53   7    8 24 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       47.41     -1.41                      
78 11/03/2008 Home    L      21.48   8  44    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                 -17.43    -18.57                      
79 08/28/2009 Home    W      40.41  32   2    8 59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville             1.49     28.51  nd                  
80 09/04/2009 Away    W      81.29  70   6    8 56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     42.38     21.62  nd                  
81 09/11/2009 Away    W      63.07  49  22    8 37 ( 54- 37-  0) Lamoni                 24.16      2.84  nd                  
82 09/18/2009 Away    W   *  68.78  71  16    8 58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour                29.87     25.13                      
83 09/25/2009 Home    W   *  78.72  88  44    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas         39.81      4.19                      
84 10/02/2009 Away    W      63.85  42   8    8 45 ( 30- 63-  0) Ventura                24.94      9.06  nd                  
85 10/09/2009 Home    W   * 100.55  70   0    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars     61.64      8.36                      
86 10/16/2009 Away    W   *  42.32  52  28    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony      3.41     20.59                      
87 10/23/2009 Away    W   *  49.18  45   6    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia                10.27     28.73                      
88 10/28/2009 Home    W      46.14  21  10    8 33 ( 42- 52-  0) Afton East Union        7.23      3.77                      
89 11/02/2009 Home    W      61.33  64  43    8 24 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian       22.41     -1.41                      
90 11/06/2009 Away    L      37.54  20  43    8  9 ( 85- 29-  0) Lenox                  -1.38    -21.62                      
91 08/27/2010 Home    L     -13.03  12  62    8 32 ( 39- 40-  0) Janesville            -51.95      1.95  ND                  
92 09/03/2010 Away    L     -13.62  12  69    8 24 ( 18- 12-  0) Ankeny Christian      -52.53     -4.47  ND                  
93 09/10/2010 Home    L   *  -7.45   0  38    8 40 ( 55- 38-  0) Bussey Twin Cedars    -46.36      8.36                      
94 09/17/2010 Away    L   * -15.22  18  47    8 58 ( 35- 54-  0) Seymour               -54.13     25.13                      
95 09/24/2010 Home    L   *  14.72  18  38    8 34 ( 59- 37-  0) Melcher-Dallas        -24.19      4.19                      
96 10/01/2010 Home    L   * -14.66  56  76    8 64 (  4- 15-  0) Tama Meskwaki         -53.57     33.57                      
97 10/08/2010 Away    L   * -31.68   0  50    8 55 ( 32- 59-  0) Farmington Harmony    -70.59     20.59                      
98 10/15/2010 Away    L   * -18.01  12  61    8 43 ( 34- 35-  0) DM Grandview Park     -56.92      7.92                      
99 10/22/2010 Home    L   * -21.88  34  63    8 61 ( 16- 56-  0) Moravia               -60.79     31.79                      
      Averages              38.76  30.9 24.6

Best game:  100.55 = 70 point win over Bussey Twin Cedars
Worst game: -31.68 = 50 point loss to Farmington Harmony
Team stdev:  30.51